Claim: Verifiable proof that Vaccines cause SIDS and Autism from Steve Kirsch?
Steve Kirsch has written an article where he looks at the likelihood of vaccines causing SIDS and Autism.
He speaks of a police officer who was assigned to look at SIDS cases - this police officer looked at around 300 cases of SIDS:
One of them knew a police officer who was assigned to investigate SIDS deaths. That officer is now retired. The officer did 3 to 4 cases a month, so around 300 cases total in the past 7 years. In 75% of the cases, SIDS happened within 48 hours after a vaccine shot. I will be doing a zoom call with that investigator later. That statistic is impossible if the vaccines aren’t causing SIDS. Nobody can postulate a confounder on that one. This isn’t a cherry picked data point; it’s the only data point from a police officer I’m aware of.
About a week later, Steve Kirsch published the testimony of the police officer who investigated SIDS on rumble.
In the interview the police officer claims that SIDS occurs 1 week after vaccination in 50% of the cases.
In his article Steve also cites a Japanese journal article that has a less impressive result, however in their data, SIDS occurred within 4 weeks of vaccination in 33% of cases where the vaccination status of the child is known: this is still quite a staggering result. If the correlation with vaccination date was simply random, SIDS should only occur within 4 weeks of vaccination in 7.7% of cases.
This will be added to my original article on this subject.
The statistics.
Steve asked statistician Norman Fenton what the chances are of 75% of these deaths (or more) happening within 48 hours after the shot?
The calculation is trivial to get the chance of seeing 225 deaths or more:
>>> poisson.sf(225-1,10)
3.7718601504237225e-213
That’s an absolutely infinitesimal chance: there is supposedly around 1080 atoms in the observable universe. The chances of choosing one particular atom by chance is way higher than 3.77e-213, which is a chance of 0.0000~[212 zeroes in all]~377186 etc.
And there is this dreadful story of triplets all three of whom were struck with Autism within hours taking the routine pneumococcal vaccine booster.
https://twitter.com/ChildrensHD/status/1653456570414448673
It is a particularly horrifying story.
Steve Kirsch also asked Norman Fenton to calculate the odds of these triplets getting Autism by chance all at the same time after the vaccination:
Say kids only get autism between ages 1 and 4 to be conservative, so an exposure window of 3 years = 1095 days. The current rate of autism is 1 in every 35 kids per the CDC, but the McDowell triplets were vaccinated on June 25, 2007 [when the rate of autism was 1 in 110]
So around 1 in 100 kids would get autism in the 1095 day exposure period back in 2007.
So what’s the expected number of cases of autism in a single day per child? Pretty darn low: 1e-5. So if you have 3 kids, you’d expect to get 3e-5 autism cases in any 24 hour period, on average in 2007.
To see 3 (or more) events in a 24 hour window when you expected to see 3e-5 events is:
>>> poisson.sf(2,3e-5)
4.499898751214992e-15
To put this into perspective: the odds of this happening by chance is far less likely than dying in a shark attack, which is 2.66 x 10-7 and much less likely than winning lotto in Australia which is 1.59 x 10-8.
More studies need to be done on this topic; nonetheless despite the relatively small sample sizes of both studies, the evidence is very clear at this stage that this is really happening.
Osawa, Motoki MD, PhD; Nagao, Ryoko MD, PhD; Kakimoto, Yu MD, PhD; Kakiuchi, Yasuhiro MD, PhD; Satoh, Fumiko MD, PhD. Sudden Infant Death After Vaccination: Survey of Forensic Autopsy Files. The American Journal of Forensic Medicine and Pathology 40(3):p 232-237, September 2019. | DOI: 10.1097/PAF.0000000000000494 https://journals.lww.com/amjforensicmedicine/toc/2019/09000
Steve is the man!